There Will Be No Web 3.0
From an email I sent to some people at work about this idea as a SXSW talk:
- Where's the "There Will Be No Web 3.0" talk?
You know, the one where we examine the idea that the most lasting effect of lowering the barrier to entry for technology development as Linux/Web 2.0/etc. has done isn't to engender more technology development, it's to make us all realize that making a Twitter clone or a linkblog or a Wordpress theme doesn't satisfy us. Now that we can build the devices of our dreams with almost no effort, a la Rails, or scaling via AppEngine, or hardware via Gumstix and Bug Labs, we find them to be hollow, meaningless victories.
There won't be a Web 3.0 because all the technologies will start to be refined and turned in on themselves and we'll use them to better individual lifestyles. Instead of recommendation engines picking out our next movie, they'll be suggesting what time to leave for work so we don't hit traffic. Instead of Facebook letting us stalk our exes, it'll be reminding us of shared interests so we can keep things civil when it's time to share custody of the kids. Instead of Google Calendar being used by obsessive-compulsives, single moms will be able to get iCal feeds from the schools and the doctors and it'll all get auto-juggled and organized for her.
Half the discussion would be about the impending Grim Meathook Future, and the other will be practical examples of applying technology to truly better someone's life in an immediate, practical fashion.
Because I'd sure sign up for that.
References: http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2008/07/let-me-see.html && http://flingmedia.com/articles/whats-next/ && http://jwz.livejournal.com/543348.html && http://igargoyle.com/archives/2006/04/wearable_comput_5.html